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Barnes Candidacy Would Make Race Highly Competitive

March 19, 2009
Twenty months out from the 2010 election for Georgia governor, there is predictable inattention from roughly a third of the state’s voters about potential Republican-Democratic match-ups. But a new InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Research poll shows that an easy victory by the eventual GOP nominee in this supposed Republican state may be a fantasy, at least if former Democratic Gov. Roy Barnes jumps into contention, as he soon might. Our poll asked:

If the race for Governor of Georgia were held today to succeed Gov. Sonny Perdue, who by law cannot run again, how would you vote in the following match-ups? If the race were between:

Casey Cagle, Republican: 39%
Roy Barnes, Democrat: 35%
No opinion: 26%

If the race were between:

Roy Barnes, Democrat: 38%
John Oxendine, Republican: 33%
No opinion: 29%

If the race were between:

Roy Barnes, Democrat: 34%
Karen Handel, Republican: 29%
No opinion: 37%

The poll was conducted March 17 among 550 Georgia registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4%. The survey is weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation.

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